Kevin Warsh has navigated his first Federal Open Market Committee meeting as Fed Chair by holding interest rates steady, despite sustained pressure from the White House for cuts. Political noise eased somewhat after President Trump signaled acceptance of current conditions on June 9. Separately, progress in Iran peace negotiations has pulled down market pricing for additional rate hikes, leaving the rate outlook in a genuine holding pattern.
A Fed that holds firm means borrowing costs stay elevated for longer, which continues to pressure rate-sensitive assets — particularly growth stocks, real estate, and long-duration bonds. The decline in rate-hike expectations is a mild relief for bond holders, but the absence of cut progress removes a key near-term tailwind for equities broadly. Investors should expect a rangebound environment until the macro picture clarifies.
Next FOMC meeting and rate decision: watch Fed's official calendar for the July meeting date. Next CPI inflation report: approximately mid-July. Any further statements from Warsh on the Fed's policy stance.
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