Moscow and its surrounding region were struck overnight by the largest drone assault in over a year, leaving at least three people dead and more than a dozen wounded. The attack included a strike on a refinery in the Moscow region, marking a significant escalation in the reach and scale of drone warfare inside Russian territory. This represents a notable intensification of the conflict beyond frontline zones.
Attacks on Russian refinery infrastructure directly threaten oil and fuel processing capacity, which can tighten global energy supply and push crude prices higher. Energy stocks and oil-linked ETFs may catch a short-term bid, while risk assets broadly could face pressure if the conflict signals further escalation. European markets are more exposed than U.S. markets given geographic proximity and energy dependency.
Ongoing: Monitor Brent crude and WTI oil futures for immediate price reaction. Watch for any Russian government response or retaliatory military action in the coming 48-72 hours. Next scheduled OPEC+ monitoring meeting: dates subject to confirmation but watch for any emergency statements on supply.
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