Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz is fully open for commercial vessel traffic during an active ceasefire period linked to a truce between Israel and Lebanon. Major stock indices hit record levels following the news, and Bitcoin surged above $77,000. The sources diverge slightly — Bloomberg ties the opening to the Israel-Lebanon truce, while Decrypt frames it as a standing declaration during the ceasefire.
The Strait of Hormuz carries roughly 20% of the world's oil supply, so any threat to it spikes energy prices and crushes market sentiment — and its reopening does the opposite. With the chokepoint declared open, oil supply fears ease, which is disinflationary and broadly good for equities, especially growth stocks that get hammered by high energy costs. The Bitcoin move above $77,000 signals that risk appetite is back on across the board.
Watch for: (1) Any breakdown in the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire — no confirmed date, but fragile; (2) Next OPEC+ meeting for production signals; (3) Weekly EIA crude oil inventory report every Wednesday; (4) U.S. CPI inflation data — next release typically mid-month.
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