The European Union's monthly trade deficit with China reached €31.9 billion in April, equivalent to roughly €1 billion per day, according to official Eurostat data — a record imbalance that underscores how much more Europe buys from China than it sells. The gap reflects a structural mismatch: Chinese exports of electric vehicles, batteries, and industrial goods flood European markets while EU exports to China remain subdued. Separately, Brussels is pursuing long-term supply chain diversification, including a freight rail corridor through Angola to tap southern African minerals and reduce reliance on Chinese raw materials.
A record and widening trade deficit with China increases political pressure for EU tariffs or trade barriers, which would raise costs for European manufacturers that depend on Chinese inputs and could trigger retaliatory measures hitting European exporters — particularly in autos and luxury goods. Sectors already under margin pressure, like European automakers, face a double threat: cheaper Chinese competition at home and potential loss of access to the Chinese market if tensions escalate. The Angola rail corridor signals that Europe is playing a long game on supply chain resilience, which is modestly positive for companies involved in African infrastructure and critical minerals.
July 2025: EU decision on carbon border emissions pricing (CBAM expansion). Ongoing: EU-China trade talks and any formal tariff announcement targeting Chinese EVs or industrial goods. Next Eurostat trade data release: ~mid-June (May figures).
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